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11

Panel Discussion: Understanding Migration

and Steering it Rationally

Following Collier’s presentation, Rolf Dörig, Peter

Grünenfelder, and George Sheldon discussed migra-

tion as a global phenomenon and the difficulties with

regulating immigration at national and international

levels.

Peter Grünenfelder, director of Avenir Suisse, com-

mented on Collier’s statement about reestablishing

normality. He mused that there are currently approxi-

mately 215 million people who are moving back and

forth.

Furthermore, prosperity is approximately 50 times

higher here than in Africa. These are economic pull

factors that can hardly be avoided. How, asked

Grünenfelder, could anyone establish normality?

The factor of return migration is ignored

All panel participants agreed that migration is a com-

plex, global phenomenon. There were different opin-

ions, however, with respect to steering mechanisms.

Grünenfelder rated Switzerland’s migration policies as

largely successful and pointed out that the best steering

of migration happens with economic development.

George Sheldon, professor of labor market and indus-

trial economics at the University of Basel, countered

that a migration policy that only focuses on the de-

“Approximately 700 million

persons would like to emi-

grate, primarily to Europe

and America.”

“The final amount is quite

different, however, since not

all people remain here,”

mand of the economy can be problematic. Individual

firms do not consider important external factors when

recruiting new labor, which leads to a large labor

migration. Sheldon pointed to a general problem in

steering migration. Steering usually is based on a fixed

migration amount. This depends on two flow factors:

immigration and return migration. Sheldon criticized

that the migration amount is presently only calculated

based on one factor, and that the return migration as

an important flow factor is largely ignored.

says Sheldon. The lower the economic qualifications of

the immigrants, the greater is the probability that they

will remain, which is due to the earnings differential

between the land of immigration and the country of

origin.

Integration through work

The speakers shared the opinion, however, that the

integration and socialization of the migrants is best

accomplished on the labor market. One of the most

important measures for preventing social conflict is the

avoidance of ghettoization. Switzerland is considered a

model country in this respect. Immigration policies

limit the isolation of individual ethnic groups and thus

support cultural blending. This is of central impor-

tance with respect to the current refugee crisis, empha-

sized Rolf Dörig, president of the board of directors of

Swiss Life Holding and Adecco Group. He advocated

more intensive humanitarian aid for refugees. Europe

must come together on this issue and consider what we

can do to attain a normal situation.

Rolf Dörig and Peter Grünenfelder agreed that the labor

market is crucial for integration and socialization of migrants.

Sheldon criticized that return migration is largely ignored in

the discussion about steering mechanisms.

Dialogue and Events

Podium